{"id":6442,"date":"2023-12-20T23:07:37","date_gmt":"2023-12-20T23:07:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/design302.webdemoserver.online\/impact-investing-news\/non-categorise\/et-la-cop28\/"},"modified":"2023-12-20T23:41:41","modified_gmt":"2023-12-20T23:41:41","slug":"et-la-cop28","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/design302.webdemoserver.online\/fr-ca\/impact-investing-news\/idees-dimpact\/et-la-cop28\/","title":{"rendered":"Et la COP28 ?"},"content":{"rendered":"

COP28: <\/strong>Un grand pas en avant pour les producteurs de p\u00e9trole, mais un petit pas pour l’humanit\u00e9. <\/strong><\/p>\n

Don Quixote<\/em>
\nCOP28 est derri\u00e8re nous, c’est une victoire majeure dans la lutte contre le changement climatique. C’est un moment historique, car c’est la premi\u00e8re fois que la COP appelle \u00e0 la transition loin des combustibles fossiles, y compris le p\u00e9trole et le gaz.<\/p>\n

Schopenhauer<\/em><\/p>\n

Vous dites que les nations du monde ont finalement d\u00e9cid\u00e9 que, pour atteindre un niveau de 1,5 degr\u00e9 Celsius, elles doivent passer \u00e0 autre chose que les combustibles fossiles. C’est certainement la chose la plus \u00e9vidente qui puisse \u00eatre dite sur le changement climatique. La science le dit depuis des ann\u00e9es, et nous sommes d\u00e9j\u00e0 tellement loin de la trajectoire de 1,5 degr\u00e9 Celsius. Cela aurait \u00e9t\u00e9 un moment historique si cette annonce avait eu lieu il y a 10 ans.<\/p>\n

Don Quixote<\/em>
\nRegardez le m\u00e9thane, 50 des plus grandes compagnies p\u00e9troli\u00e8res et gazi\u00e8res du monde, y compris Aramco (le plus grand producteur mondial de p\u00e9trole et de gaz), s’engagent \u00e0 r\u00e9duire consid\u00e9rablement les \u00e9missions de m\u00e9thane d’ici 2030 et \u00e0 \u00e9liminer toutes les \u00e9missions de gaz \u00e0 effet de serre dans leurs op\u00e9rations d’ici 2050. C’est \u00e9norme car le m\u00e9thane est consid\u00e9r\u00e9 comme 80 fois plus puissant que le CO2.<\/p>\n

Schopenhauer<\/em>
\nIls ont enfin conclu un accord avec les grandes compagnies p\u00e9troli\u00e8res et gazi\u00e8res pour arr\u00eater les torch\u00e8res routini\u00e8res. Cela aurait d\u00fb \u00eatre fait il y a longtemps. Et ils ne pr\u00e9cisent pas la quantit\u00e9 de r\u00e9duction du m\u00e9thane. Nous verrons tous les r\u00e9sultats dans la mise en \u0153uvre de leur engagement. Tous ces engagements sont volontaires. Beaucoup des engagements pr\u00e9c\u00e9dents n’ont pas \u00e9t\u00e9 tenus.<\/p>\n

Don Quixote<\/em>
\nL’accord appelle les pays \u00e0 s’attaquer \u00e0 la r\u00e9duction des \u00e9missions de gaz \u00e0 effet de serre en triplant la capacit\u00e9 d’\u00e9nergie renouvelable \u00e0 pr\u00e8s de 12 000 GW et en doublant le taux annuel d’am\u00e9lioration de l’efficacit\u00e9 \u00e9nerg\u00e9tique, passant de 2% \u00e0 4%. Si tous ces objectifs, ainsi que la r\u00e9duction du m\u00e9thane, sont atteints, nous serons \u00e0 80% du chemin pour atteindre la r\u00e9duction n\u00e9cessaire cette d\u00e9cennie pour maintenir l’augmentation de la temp\u00e9rature \u00e0 1,5 degr\u00e9 Celsius.<\/p>\n

Schopenhauer<\/em>
\nCependant, l’accord ne dit pas comment nous atteindrons ces objectifs. En 2015, l’accord de Paris visait \u00e0 limiter le r\u00e9chauffement climatique en dessous de 2\u00b0C et, si possible, \u00e0 1,5\u00b0C. Nous sommes maintenant en 2023, nous sommes cens\u00e9s r\u00e9duire nos \u00e9missions de gaz \u00e0 effet de serre de 43% d’ici 2030. Nous sommes actuellement sur une trajectoire de r\u00e9duction de 3%, loin de l’objectif. e sentiment d’urgence n’est clairement pas dans la conscience des dirigeants de la COP28. Nous ne sommes clairement pas sur la voie pour atteindre ce \u00e0 quoi nous nous sommes engag\u00e9s dans l’accord de Paris. La demande de combustibles fossiles est sur le point d’atteindre un nouveau record. 2023 sera presque certainement l’ann\u00e9e la plus chaude jamais enregistr\u00e9e. Et le nombre d’\u00e9v\u00e9nements climatiques d\u00e9sastreux a atteint de nouveaux sommets. Cela commence d\u00e9j\u00e0 \u00e0 affecter les moyens de subsistance dans diverses communaut\u00e9s \u00e0 travers le monde.<\/p>\n

Don Quixote<\/em>
\nPour la premi\u00e8re fois lors d’une COP, les pays riches les plus responsables du changement climatique ont promis un total de 700 millions de dollars pour un fonds de perte et de dommage visant \u00e0 aider les nations pauvres \u00e0 se remettre d’une catastrophe climatique. Cette promesse historique devrait signaler un engagement des nations d\u00e9velopp\u00e9es et polluantes \u00e0 fournir un soutien financier aux pays vuln\u00e9rables au changement climatique.<\/p>\n

Schopenhauer<\/em>
\nMais les promesses sont loin de ce qui est n\u00e9cessaire. On estime que le fonds de perte et de dommage devrait recevoir environ 400 milliards de dollars par an pour faire face aux dommages caus\u00e9s par le changement climatique dans les pays en d\u00e9veloppement et vuln\u00e9rables. es promesses jusqu’\u00e0 pr\u00e9sent repr\u00e9sentent moins de 0,2% des pertes \u00e9conomiques irr\u00e9versibles subies par les pays vuln\u00e9rables. C’est clairement une goutte d’eau dans l’oc\u00e9an.<\/p>\n

Don Quixote<\/em>
\nLe sommet de la COP28 s’est conclu par un accord appelant les pays \u00e0 abandonner les combustibles fossiles conform\u00e9ment aux objectifs climatiques mondiaux. C’est la premi\u00e8re fois qu’un accord climatique mondial appelle \u00e0 remplacer les combustibles fossiles par des \u00e9nergies propres. Et la majorit\u00e9 des pays ont appel\u00e9 \u00e0 r\u00e9duire progressivement la combustion de p\u00e9trole, de gaz et de charbon, responsables de la majeure partie des \u00e9missions de gaz \u00e0 effet de serre qui polluent l’atmosph\u00e8re.<\/p>\n

Schopenhauer<\/em>
\nIl n’y a aucun sentiment d’urgence en ce qui concerne l’\u00e9limination progressive des combustibles fossiles. Avec une COP domin\u00e9e par les pays de l’OPEP, il n’\u00e9tait pas possible d’\u00eatre ambitieux et de fixer la barre l\u00e0 o\u00f9 elle devrait \u00eatre. Lorsqu’il y a des conflits d’int\u00e9r\u00eats \u00e9vidents, les \u00eatres humains peuvent devenir irrationnels, dire une chose et en faire une autre. Si nous ne sommes qu’au tiers du chemin pour atteindre un r\u00e9chauffement climatique de 1,5 degr\u00e9 Celsius, si la science dit que nous devrions arr\u00eater tout nouveau projet de combustibles fossiles, pourquoi les \u00c9tats p\u00e9troliers planifient-ils encore une expansion massive des combustibles fossiles ? Pourquoi la demande mondiale de charbon continue-t-elle d’augmenter en 2023 ? Et pourquoi ne devrait-elle pas commencer \u00e0 d\u00e9cliner avant 2026 pour rester \u00e0 8 milliards de tonnes m\u00e9triques ? Pour atteindre les objectifs fix\u00e9s par l’accord de Paris, l’utilisation du charbon doit diminuer beaucoup plus rapidement. Si nous voulons remporter cette course contre le changement climatique, nous ne pouvons-nous permettre aucun recul, c’est implicitement ce sur quoi comptent les industries des combustibles fossiles.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

La COP28 est termin\u00e9e, le pr\u00e9sident du sommet, qui est \u00e9galement le PDG de la Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (Adnoc), peut d\u00e9sormais se concentrer sur l’expansion pr\u00e9vue de 150 milliards de dollars dans le secteur du p\u00e9trole et du gaz. Adnoc est le 11e plus grand producteur mondial de p\u00e9trole et de gaz et a livr\u00e9 plus d’un milliard de barils \u00e9quivalents de p\u00e9trole (BBOE) en 2021. La soci\u00e9t\u00e9 a d’importants projets d’expansion \u00e0 court terme avec des plans visant \u00e0 ajouter plus de 7 BBOE \u00e0 sa production dans les ann\u00e9es \u00e0 venir, soit la cinqui\u00e8me plus grande augmentation au monde.<\/em><\/p>\n

Seulement 10% de l’expansion d’Adnoc est compatible avec le sc\u00e9nario de l’AIE pour que le monde atteigne z\u00e9ro \u00e9mission nette de carbone d’ici 2050.<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<\/span>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Que diraient Don Quichotte et Schopenhauer de la r\u00e9cente COP28 ? Notre fondateur, Michel Brutti, consid\u00e8re deux perspectives fascinantes sur les r\u00e9sultats de l’\u00e9v\u00e9nement dans cet article \u00e9clairant ici.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":6440,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[32],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6442","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-idees-dimpact"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nEt la COP28 ? - Clear Skies<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Un grand pas en avant pour les producteurs de p\u00e9trole, mais un petit pas pour l'humanit\u00e9. 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